Harald van Heerde explains the constraints of loyalty programs
Professor Harald van Heerde explains how econometric models and analytics can improve the process of decision-making for marketers
BusinessThink: Big companies are spending a lot of money on traditional advertising, and a lot of those decisions seem to be based on gut feel that it’s working, not actual data. And yet, the real data seem to show that traditional forms of advertising are losing their effectiveness. They’re just not getting the cut-through that they used to have.
Harald van Heerde: TV advertising has lost a lot of its effectiveness. What’s happening nowadays is that fewer people are watching television – they’re watching it less – and whenever they watch television, they skip commercials or avoid them altogether. As a result, TV ads don’t really work anymore. And that’s also shown in research: over the past 40 years, advertising has lost much of its effectiveness.
The only type that really seems to work well is search engine advertising. So, for example, if I Google for a new barbecue, I get a set of results. A lot of people click on the top listings, and they may end up buying that brand. And that is really working well nowadays.
BusinessThink: The big supermarkets have put in millions of dollars into their own loyalty schemes, but they don’t seem to be working.
van Heerde: In grocery retailing, they are not as effective as you might believe. The thing is that those customers that are already loyal to a supermarket, they end up taking their loyalty card. So, for example, I might live close to Coles supermarkets, spend a lot of my money there, and I then sign up for Flybuys. So, it’s not that Flybuys make me more loyal; it’s the other way around. Because I’m loyal, I’m taking Flybuys.
And I did some research on that as well in grocery retailing, and the effects of those loyalty programs are really tiny on people’s loyalty once you account for the fact that a lot of people sign up for those programs because they’re already loyal.
"It’s not that Flybuys make me more loyal; it’s the other way around. Because I’m loyal, I’m taking Flybuys."
HARALD van HEERDE
Tesco in the UK is an example of a company that really uses its loyalty card data well. For example, they might approach you with a tailored offer. So, you may be buying Heinz tomato sauce all the time, and they may want to send you a discount for their store brand, Tesco’s tomato sauce, in order for you to switch to their private label, because that’s actually more profitable for them. And they’re a company that does it really well.
However, most grocery retailers really don’t do it that well. Also, because the amount of data that comes with tracking millions of customers and all their purchases is really huge.
BusinessThink: And how about those dedicated customers that really do want those points? Can you game the system?
van Heerde: There are absolutely those kinds of customers. So basically, what they do is buy from one special to another. For example, they may have their favourite coffee brands, and it’s on special every three or four weeks, so they just wait until it’s on special and buy then. And actually, for the firm, that’s not that profitable because those customers never pay the full price; they only pay the discounted price.
Of course, you have to be quite a dedicated shopper to put in so much effort and time to really earn all the points you can. Many people don’t care too much about it. In fact, they carry loyalty programs from many different companies, and anyway, it doesn’t make them any more loyal.
'You have to be quite a dedicated shopper to take so much effort and time to really get all the points you can.'
HARALD van HEERDE
Some loyalty schemes are very effective. In particular, airline frequent flyer schemes have proved effective for airlines that can mine the data, turning it into a multi-billion-dollar asset.
Those airline loyalty schemes are really effective. A lot of customers are keen on getting points for those programs because those programs give them real benefits, with the tiers you might achieve. So you might go up in tier, and then you may be able to access the lounge and get all the benefits, and a lot of people find those benefits attractive.
And [keeping customers loyal] is another feature of those programs, in that customers can lose their status.